26/01/04

Most Rape Allegations Are False

Dear Mr. Harry, 

I have been enjoying your site for many months now, but feel compelled to correct an assertion you've made regarding the incidents of reporting rapes. Specifically, you made the assertion that "the vast majority of rape allegations are false". Actually, the number is approximately 40-50% - not a "vast majority" by any means.

As one who has dealt with sex offenders in the professional realm for many years, I can attest to the fact that in America, no one is held in lower esteem than the convicted offender.

As one who has dealt with sex offenders in the professional realm for many years, I can attest to the fact that in America, no one is held in lower esteem than the convicted offender. The "vast majority" of those convicted will never re-offend, despite the canard foisted upon the people by the rantings of anal-retentive fear mongers that sex offenders cannot be "cured".

I love your work so please don't allow this friendly correction to put you off your game.

Best Regards,

R Michigan, USA

Hi R

Thank you for those kind words.

They are much appreciated.

Yes. I have seen - but not studied closely - some of the research showing that about 45% of rape allegations are false in the USA, but my own belief is that this figure is a gross underestimate of the true position.

For example, I looked at some of the research published by the Home Office in the UK (e.g. see my piece Home Office Rape Statistics Are False) and it was clear to me that, firstly, the rape figures were being inflated many, many times over by the authorities and, secondly, that the evidence that was available to them supported the view that the vast majority of rape allegations were false - though they have done their very best to hide this.

 the USA, researchers like Eugene J. Kanin 1994 have clearly bent over backwards to keep the false-allegation figure as low as possible.

Furthermore, with regard to the USA, researchers like Eugene J. Kanin 1994 have clearly bent over backwards to keep the false-allegation figure as low as possible.

For example, in Kanin's work  ...

 "... for a declaration of false charge to be made, the complainant must admit that no rape had occurred. She is the sole agent who can say that the rape charge is false. The police department will not declare a rape charge as false when the complainant, for whatever reason, fails to pursue the charge or cooperate on the case, regardless how much doubt the police may have regarding the validity of the charge.

In short, these cases are declared false only because the complainant admitted they are false."

(my underlining)

Kanin's 45% figure surely therefore represents a rock solid floor given that allegations were counted as being false only when the evidence supporting such a conclusion was pretty overwhelming. Thus, unless the accusers themselves admitted eventually to their allegations being false, they were not counted as false.

Furthermore, given that his research was carried out "in a small metropolitan area" (rather than in a large anonymous city wherein crime, dishonesty and disharmony are far more prevalent) it would not seem unreasonable to suppose that the number of false allegations in such a small place would be much less than the country's average.

 research in this area of false allegations also seems to exclude those rather 'gray' cases

Additionally, much of the other research in this area of false allegations also seems to exclude those rather 'gray' cases where the evidence is not very clear - for obvious reasons. 

But the gray cases will be the majority of cases.

And if these gray cases could actually be investigated properly (which they probably cannot be) I am sure that the percentage of false allegations would be found to be much, much higher in them.

what is rape?

There is also a question of definition - i.e. what is rape?

And my own belief is that the term 'rape' has been so misapplied in recent years that even many of those men who are objectively found to have crossed the line into 'rape' have done so only because its meaning has been fudged by the legal profession to include actions that are not, in fact, 'rape'.

In fact, I do not really have any doubt in my mind that far fewer men will 'rape' than there are women who will lie about it.

After all, the former requires some serious criminal intent with the possibility of a very long jail sentence, whereas the latter is very easily done, there is usually much to be gained from it, women are daily being urged to see themselves as having been abused in some way, and - to put it bluntly - millions of women are very emotionally unstable, and most of these would probably even admit to being so.

Furthermore, the way in which rape cases are handled these days seems almost designed to encourage and attract false allegations.

My belief is that the vast majority of rape allegations are false and, also, that the vast majority of real rapes go unreported.

Furthermore, women are the masters of emotional manipulation, deceit and distortion. These are the weapons that they use from the day that they are born. And a well-known tactic of theirs is to manipulate other men (or the authorities in this case) into using some form of aggression against their 'enemies' on their behalf. 

And so when you consider the fact that most allegations of rape are made not against strangers but arise between those who know each other, it is inconceivable that false and/or exaggerated allegations of rape are not made in great numbers than are actual rapes.

It is also worthwhile noting that any researcher who dared to claim that his work showed that rape allegations were 70, 80 or 90% false would probably find himself in serious trouble, he would not go far in his career, and his work would almost certainly remain unpublished.

 my belief is that the 40-50% false allegation figure is a gross underestimate

In conclusion, my belief is that the 40-50% false allegation figure is a gross underestimate because ...

1. Researchers only count as 'false' those allegations where the evidence that they are false is very strong.

2. The vast majority of rape cases are excluded from the 'false-allegation research' because they are 'gray'. And yet it is in these gray cases where most false allegations are likely to be made.

3. The definition of rape has been fudged to a ludicrous degree. (Indeed, with such fudging, most men can probably be said to have 'raped' at some time in their lives.)

4. Millions of women are emotionally unstable and are also prone to making false allegations in all sorts of areas - including rape. It seems to be part of their nature.

5. Millions of women have a great deal to gain by making false allegations.

6. Emotional manipulation and deceit are tools that women are highly adept at using - particularly when it comes to getting other people - the authorities - and particularly men - to take on their enemies.

7. Most accusations of rape occur in situations where intimates are having relationship problems.

The feminists and the abuse industry are notorious for their dishonest propaganda and their lies

8. The feminists and the abuse industry are notorious for their dishonest propaganda and their lies concerning matters to do with 'abuse', and their ability to intimidate academics, the judiciary, the authorities etc etc into supporting their claims means that the true number of false allegations are bound to be grossly underestimated - e.g. because too many professionals are genuinely too scared to look too closely into the matter of false allegations or to come forward with the truth about what they know.

Having said all this, if you have any good research references that counter my view on this topic I would be delighted to see them.

But I do not think that it is actually possible for such 'good' research to exist.

For example, even as things stand at the moment, the vast majority of rape allegations do not lead to convictions. How could an academic researcher therefore establish that they should have led to convictions? After all, the investigating prosecutors, the police and the juries failed to come up with a pronouncement of 'rape' in these cases. So how can the academic researchers possibly come up with anything different?

Unless, of course, they lie and cheat and fudge - which is what, basically, many of these academics do.

In other words, what could an academic possibly discover in all these cases that the officials themselves failed to discover? 

And, for example again, what notion of 'rape' would such an academic apply?

From what I have seen there is no way of realistically countering the claim that the 'vast majority' of rape allegations made to the police are false, but there is a great deal of evidence - much of it circumstantial, but, nevertheless,  fairly strong and convincing - to support such a claim.

Well. That's my opinion!

Harry

...

For 16 years, I was a kickass prosecutor who made most of my reputation vigorously prosecuting rapists. I am unaware of any Colorado prosecutor who put as many rapists away for as much prison time as I did during my prosecutorial career. Several dozen rapists are serving thousands of years as a result of my efforts.

 during my time as a prosecutor who made case filing decisions, I was amazed to see all the false rape allegations that were made

However, during my time as a prosecutor who made case filing decisions, I was amazed to see all the false rape allegations that were made to the Denver Police Department. It was remarkable and surprising to me. You would have to see it to believe it.

Any honest veteran sex assault investigator will tell you that rape is one of the most falsely reported crimes that there is. A command officer in the Denver Police sex assaults unit recently told me he placed the false rape numbers at approximately 45 percent.

Objective studies have confirmed this. See Purdue Professor Kanin's nine-year study published in 1994 concluding that over 40 percent of rape allegations were demonstrably false.

The above statements are heresy to say publicly for many politically correct prosecutors. That is especially true if they want to maintain good relations with the victim advocacy community. 

Craig Silverman

...

The evidence suggests that women make false allegations of rape for three main reasons. 

1. To provide them with an alibi - e.g. to explain why they did not return home until the early hours and why, perhaps, their clothing was dishevelled.

2. As a means of hurting the man accused.

3. In order to get attention and sympathy.

Also see my short YouTube video entitled, ...

Understanding the Rape Statistics

 to get some idea of just how ludicrous are the official claims about rape.

If you really, really want to see how government-funded academic researchers fiddle the rape figures, then take a look at my piece entitled ...

Home Office Rape Statistics Are False

... to see how the UK's Home Office skews the evidence and the data all over the place in order to pump the rape figures up and up and up.

But I am afraid that it is a 20-minute read.

Or take a look at this piece written by an American police officer ...

False Accusations Of Rape

... or see this short piece to see how feminist-inspired academic researchers typically fudge the figures massively ...

How Rape Statistics are Distorted and Inflated).

Finally, ...

How To Deal With False Accusations